Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 7.951842 9.310002 10.798445 12.546493 14.538728 16.733945 19.331212
2026-01-11 5.653449 7.473940 9.682711 12.538964 16.111471 20.407184 25.935542
2026-01-18 4.328907 6.313555 8.924840 12.564552 17.450720 23.720561 32.300254
2026-01-25 3.347984 5.321588 8.106966 12.244437 18.136008 26.109213 37.573554
2026-02-01 2.653643 4.560229 7.425647 11.927763 18.675099 28.231904 42.560370
2026-02-08 2.090875 3.870784 6.709363 11.408246 18.788577 29.681785 46.637243
2026-02-15 1.687744 3.351855 6.157011 11.029227 19.015106 31.246871 50.931192
2026-02-22 1.488365 3.141724 6.064781 11.353298 20.337348 34.528179 58.001292
2026-03-01 1.324610 2.962935 5.992458 11.686159 21.683257 37.925219 65.469812
2026-03-08 1.095784 2.611678 5.554771 11.316513 21.794235 39.329423 69.853245
2026-03-15 0.921935 2.336125 5.212712 11.065894 22.065207 40.987042 74.726311
2026-03-22 0.851247 2.268672 5.263714 11.551266 23.682142 45.012922 83.778302
2026-03-29 0.756486 2.139639 5.195176 11.845790 25.070791 48.913416 93.188107
2026-04-05 0.650004 1.961707 5.002084 11.880477 26.003424 52.142198 101.786792
2026-04-12 0.559844 1.802169 4.821219 11.913251 26.931472 55.434410 110.741844
2026-04-19 0.463869 1.600771 4.506668 11.609431 27.143834 57.405018 117.436227
2026-04-26 0.384627 1.423257 4.214339 11.307588 27.315680 59.293575 124.088668
2026-05-03 0.310362 1.237162 3.862758 10.812026 27.011431 60.215661 128.962655
2026-05-10 0.254613 1.091478 3.586301 10.450532 26.949403 61.594870 134.784325
2026-05-17 0.230966 1.047856 3.580837 10.759628 28.419797 66.185022 147.177428
2026-05-24 0.210164 1.008132 3.579103 11.077158 29.938185 70.978138 160.264372
2026-05-31 0.173423 0.894725 3.336713 10.724541 29.841884 72.362590 166.553149
2026-06-07 0.145386 0.805106 3.147503 10.485504 29.987746 74.265946 174.012557